Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.138571 0.162314 0.188445 0.219276 0.254592 0.293716 0.340269
2025-12-28 0.099927 0.132113 0.171445 0.222733 0.287499 0.366183 0.468594
2026-01-04 0.080404 0.116385 0.163895 0.230517 0.320703 0.437596 0.599443
2026-01-11 0.066627 0.104073 0.156808 0.235307 0.347722 0.501156 0.724232
2026-01-18 0.055920 0.093491 0.149508 0.237360 0.369443 0.557868 0.843390
2026-01-25 0.047322 0.084228 0.142201 0.237517 0.387203 0.609277 0.958264
2026-02-01 0.039922 0.075409 0.133962 0.234574 0.399072 0.652051 1.062999
2026-02-08 0.033806 0.067593 0.126008 0.230635 0.408251 0.690647 1.163569
2026-02-15 0.028058 0.059363 0.116043 0.221773 0.407931 0.713549 1.240508
2026-02-22 0.026219 0.058120 0.118103 0.233754 0.443464 0.796707 1.420106
2026-03-01 0.022316 0.052116 0.110554 0.227412 0.446260 0.825355 1.511445
2026-03-08 0.018907 0.046504 0.102915 0.219820 0.445734 0.847795 1.593284
2026-03-15 0.016174 0.041915 0.096766 0.214545 0.449306 0.878338 1.692853
2026-03-22 0.014623 0.039731 0.095271 0.218375 0.470584 0.942414 1.856957
2026-03-29 0.013567 0.038521 0.095664 0.226063 0.500005 1.023503 2.057413
2026-04-05 0.012406 0.036827 0.094731 0.230773 0.523790 1.095634 2.246108
2026-04-12 0.011201 0.034785 0.092698 0.232791 0.542116 1.158493 2.421391
2026-04-19 0.010032 0.032602 0.090004 0.232945 0.556400 1.214272 2.586504
2026-04-26 0.008843 0.030117 0.086203 0.230053 0.563757 1.256632 2.728053
2026-05-03 0.007759 0.027703 0.082210 0.226183 0.568488 1.293823 2.861550
2026-05-10 0.006607 0.024817 0.076537 0.217475 0.561374 1.305809 2.944725
2026-05-17 0.006412 0.024934 0.078939 0.229247 0.602480 1.422076 3.248834
2026-05-24 0.005564 0.022707 0.074530 0.223016 0.600641 1.446215 3.362651